The yield curve, as measured by the 2-year note and 10-year note (Treasury yields) have gotten more inverted of late, registering at -106 basis points (bps) at last count. Even at that, many bond ...

The 3-Month Treasury Bill’s rate of 5.50% is currently the highest among US treasuries as of June 2023. It was 0% at the beginning of last year. The 3-month rate is currently higher than the 3-year by ...

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For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...

With all the attention given to the recent surge in Treasury (UST) yields, there has been an interesting by-product in the process: steepening yield curves. Remember when inverted yield curves were ...

The 10-year and 3-month treasury yields have been inverted since last October Typically, interest rates on long term bonds are higher than rates on short term bonds. An inversion of the yield curve ...

Many are concerned that a deeply inverted yield curve signals a recession. When we look at the current yield curve, we see an opportunity to add exposure to fixed income. The most direct implication ...

A classic recession indicator is flashing signs that the long-awaited downturn is about to start. BofA strategists pointed to two points in the yield curve that have inverted, moves typically followed ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...