Cross-impact analysis is widely employed to inform management and policy decisions based on the formulation of scenarios which are defined as combinations of outcomes of relevant uncertainty factors.

Severe accidents at nuclear reactors have occurred much more frequently than what risk-assessment models predicted. The probabilistic risk assessment method does a poor job of anticipating accidents ...

In evaluating the quality of Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS’s) approach to risk analysis—element (a) of this study’s Statement of Task—we must differentiate between DHS’s overall ...

Two other factors that should be considered when assessing the commercial risks to specific E&P projects are influenced by the project's maturity. These are: 1. The uncertainty associated with ...

A majority of safety practitioners accept the premise that absolute safety is not attainable. Still, some safety practitioners profess that only a risk-free environment is acceptable. These two ...

The multiple and ongoing accidents at the Fukushima reactors come as a reminder of the hazards associated with nuclear power. As with the earlier severe accidents at Chernobyl and Three Mile Island, ...